US stock futures slip as traders wait for midterm election results
US index futures fell and the dollar eased as investors awaited the midterm vote, Reuters reported. Markets are watching the size of any Democratic win.
2 sources · Reuters
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Prediction Market Bets Shift Toward a Democratic Senate Majority
According to WSJ, Polymarket and Kalshi put the odds of a Democratic-controlled US Senate at 90% or higher while the vote count is still underway.
1 source · WSJ
Global stocks wobble as traders await US midterm vote; oil slips
Global equities wobbled on Tuesday as investors awaited US midterm election results, while Brent fell amid Middle East talks, per Reuters.
2 sources · Reuters
Yardeni Research: Democratic midterm sweep may hit stocks, but analysts would buy the dip
Yardeni Research warns a Democratic sweep in the midterms could unsettle equities, yet its analysts see any selloff as a chance to buy.
S&P 500US stocksUS TreasuriesTreasury yields
1 source · Yardeni
Warren and four other lawmakers question McDonald's over algorithmic pricing
Senator Elizabeth Warren and four other Democratic lawmakers wrote to CEO Chris Kempczinski with questions about menu prices set by algorithms at the chain.
1 source · Reuters
Bund yields climb with oil as investors wait for US midterm results
German 10-year Bund yields rose after Brent gained, though investors stayed cautious ahead of the US midterm elections, according to Reuters.
2 sources · Reuters
Ackman backs cloud giants, Burry adds to BYD and JD: market briefing
Pershing Square argues analysts underrate cloud and AI giants, Michael Burry adds to BYD and JD.com, and Democratic sweep odds rise. Via Seeking Alpha.
S&P 500MetaBYDJD.comSprouts Farmers MarketTreasury yields
1 source · Seeking Alpha
US Midterms: Possible Shift in Congress Seen Having Limited Effect on Dollar
Commerzbank's Norman Liebke sees limited short-term dollar impact if Republicans lose Congress in midterms, as polls suggest, Market Talk reports.
1 source · Market Talk
Analyst sees Brent staying in $95–115 range unless Iran progress accelerates
Analyst Geoffrey Dennis, per TradingView, says Brent may stay at $95–115 without more progress toward peace, and also weighs in on AI stocks and US midterms.
1 source · TradingView
Democratic Win at US Midterms Could Weigh on Asian AI Stocks
BNP Paribas analyst William Bratton says a Democratic sweep could pressure Asian AI-related shares, according to Market Talk.
Asian AI stocksAsia tech sectorNortheast Asian equities
1 source · Market Talk
US Stock Futures Open Ahead of Midterm Elections as Markets Await Tuesday Vote
US stock futures open after a tech-led selloff, with investors watching the midterm elections and the October jobs report later this week.
S&P 500Nasdaq CompositeDow JonesUS dollarBrentWTI
1 source · Barrons.com
Judge throws out Trump administration suit over Alaska vote certification
A US federal judge in Anchorage dismissed the Trump administration's lawsuit seeking to block Alaska from certifying a Senate race result, Reuters reports.
1 source · Reuters
Trump administration's voter lists could complicate US midterm results
Reuters reports that US voter lists compiled by the Trump administration could be used to challenge close midterm results, though courts have pushed back.
1 source · Reuters
US midterms: what the vote could mean for the S&P 500 and Indian stocks
Moody's, citing Emkay: the November midterms would affect Indian stocks mainly via oil, the dollar and Treasury yields, not US policy toward India.
S&P 500BrentSensexNiftyUS TreasuriesUSD/INR
1 source · Moody's
Midterm vote could shift the outlook for sports betting stocks and prediction markets
Seeking Alpha analyzes how the November 3 midterms could affect sports betting shares and prediction markets, including a Nebraska ballot measure.
1 source · Seeking Alpha
Prediction markets now give Democrats about 70% chance to sweep midterms
Kalshi and Polymarket traders price a Democratic sweep of Congress near 70%, up sharply from below 50% in early September, ahead of Tuesday's vote.
1 source · Seeking Alpha
Democratic Congress win would shift trade debate but not roll back Trump tariffs
Democrats could hold hearings and symbolic tariff votes, but Trump's veto makes rollbacks unlikely, according to Reuters.
1 source · Reuters
Investors Bet on Hospital Stocks Ahead of a Possible Democratic Win in Congress
According to the Wall Street Journal, hospital shares have rallied on hopes for a shift in Congress, but analysts warn the trade is risky and relief may be narrow.
1 source · WSJ
FBI blames North Korea for record $6.3 billion Binance hack
The FBI said North Korea was behind the theft of about $6.3 billion in crypto assets from Binance. It urged firms to block transactions linked to the attack.
1 source · Cointelegraph
Midterm vote seen doing little to lower India's oil exposure amid Iran tensions
Emkay Global Financial Services, cited by Moody's, sees oil staying elevated after the November 3 US midterms, keeping pressure on Indian assets.
1 source · Moody's