Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs
0.1%-27.5 pp
prediction markets
what the crowd prices in.
live probabilities from the most traded polymarket markets. the price of a share is the probability the crowd assigns to the event — and the news behind the number is one click away.
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
68.5%-9.0 pp
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
97.5%+2.6 pp
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?
100%+92.5 pp
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Alexandra Shubladze
12.5%+0.0 pp
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
100%+0.0 pp
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
29.5%+8.0 pp
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
0.5%+0.0 pp
Will Scott Colom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
0.2%+0.0 pp
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
20.7%+4.0 pp
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
23.3%-5.3 pp
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.2%+0.0 pp
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?
0.5%+0.2 pp
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
39.9%+5.9 pp
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
0.8%+0.3 pp
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
2.1%-1.4 pp
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?
100%+0.0 pp
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)
0.1%-43.5 pp
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
2.6%-2.9 pp
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
64.4%+7.3 pp
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
98.1%+2.1 pp
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
43.5%-10.0 pp
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?
71.5%-1.0 pp
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
1.9%+0.1 pp
probabilities are market prices on polymarket, not forecasts from newsmetry. not investment advice.