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US stock indexes slump in a week of AI doubts and Fed rate-hike bets

Barron's reports that the Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq all closed lower for the week as markets bet on a Fed hike in December. Futures reopen Sunday night.

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what happened

Barron's reports that US stock futures are set to start trading Sunday night after a turbulent week. Investors are uneasy about the artificial intelligence trade and about future spending on AI data centers under a Congress that Democrats will control, along with Democratic-led state governments. On Thursday the indexes posted their biggest one-day percentage drop since April 4, 2025.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed down 0.9% at 51,285.73 on Friday, having fallen 3.9% over its last two trading sessions, and is still up 6.7% this year. The S&P 500 closed down 2.7% at 7376.86, posting its largest weekly point and percentage decline since the week ending April 4, 2025. The Nasdaq Composite fell 3.4% to 24,579.42, its biggest weekly drop since the week ending October 16.

Analysts at Fiduciary Capital Management, quoted by Barron's, said conditions for a broad equity bounce are not on the near-term horizon. They noted the Nasdaq made all of its 2026 gains in April and May, then fell 8.1% from June 1 to November 1. Bonds have held up as a hedge, returning just over 2.6% since early October, but the analysts said that status is looking somewhat aged. Markets expect the Federal Reserve to raise rates again in December. Gasoline averaged $4.020 a gallon, down from $4.361 a month ago, and diesel averaged $4.936 a gallon.

why it matters

Two forces matter for markets here: expectations of another Fed rate hike weigh on growth stocks and bonds, while doubts about AI spending keep the technology sector under pressure. This week's key releases are the October consumer price index on Tuesday and the producer price index on Friday.

market impact

US stocks: expected rate hikes and AI doubts pressure the indexes, Nasdaq especially

  • Nasdaq Composite pressure down — doubts about AI spending and expected rate hikes weigh on tech stocks
  • US Treasuries pressure down — expected Fed rate hikes reduce the appeal of existing bonds

instruments

S&P 500 ↗Nasdaq CompositeDow JonesUS TreasuriesFed rate futuresUS gasoline

on polymarket

Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?5%Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?7.5%Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?2.7%

sources

  1. Investors Brace for Volatility When Stock Futures Begin Trading Tonight — Barrons.com, 8 November 2026 at 18:06 UTC

prepared by the newsmetry newsroom with ai assistance from the sources listed below. not investment advice.

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