macro

Traders Scale Back Bets on Further Bank of England Rate Hikes

Investors are cutting expectations for Bank of England rate rises as AI sector worries weigh on sentiment. LSEG data show markets now fully price two hikes in 2027.

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what happened

Investors are dialing back expectations for Bank of England rate increases in the months ahead, as concerns about the artificial intelligence industry weigh on market mood, Market Talk reports.

According to LSEG data, markets now fully price in two BOE hikes in 2027 and a 49% chance of a third by year-end. At the start of the week, they had fully priced in three increases for 2027.

On Thursday, the Bank of England raised its key rate to 4.0%, a move that was widely expected.

why it matters

For sterling and gilts, the expected tightening cycle has become shorter. A smaller path of hikes tends to lower yields and support bond prices, while the pound loses some of its rate-driven support, even though the rate itself has not changed.

market impact

Pound and gilts: fewer expected rate hikes lower yields and pressure the pound.

  • British pound pressure down — fewer expected rate hikes reduce the currency's interest-rate appeal
  • UK gilts pressure up — a shorter tightening path lowers yields and supports bond prices

tags

instruments

GBPUK gilts

sources

  1. Markets Pare Expectations for BOE Rate Rises — Market Talk, 6 November 2026 at 09:21 UTC

prepared by the newsmetry newsroom with ai assistance from the sources listed below. not investment advice.

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