macro

FX and bonds week: US inflation data may signal whether another Fed rate hike is coming

Dow Jones Newswires outlines the key events for the week of November 9, including US inflation data and central bank minutes and speeches in Canada, Britain, Japan and Australia.

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what happened

According to Dow Jones Newswires, the main event for FX and bond markets this week is the US consumer price report for October, due Tuesday. Together with producer prices on Friday and Fed speeches, it will show how likely another quarter-point rate increase is in December. LSEG data cited by the agency put market pricing for that hike at 75%, and ING expects both headline and core inflation to rise 0.3% month on month.

In Canada, the minutes of the Bank of Canada's latest meeting, which lifted the key rate to 2.5%, come out Tuesday, and investors will look for hints on the next move despite weak jobs data. In Britain, third-quarter GDP is due Thursday after the Bank of England's recent hike to 4.0%. In Japan, markets will watch remarks from dovish board member Toichiro Asada.

China publishes inflation and trade figures, while Australia's cash rate is at an 18-year high and New Zealand votes on Saturday.

why it matters

The week matters because rate expectations in the US, Canada, Britain and Australia now hinge on fresh inflation and employment data, which directly moves government bond yields and currency rates.

market impact

US Treasuries and the dollar: December Fed hike expectations depend on October inflation data

  • U.S. Treasuries mixed — strong inflation pushes yields up, while weaker data pulls them down

tags

instruments

EUR/USD ↗U.S. TreasuriesUSD/JPY ↗Australian government bondsCanadian dollarYuan

sources

  1. Week Ahead for FX, Bonds: U.S. Inflation Data Could Give Clues on Rate-Hike Prospects — Dow Jones Newswires, 6 November 2026 at 16:39 UTC

prepared by the newsmetry newsroom with ai assistance from the sources listed below. not investment advice.

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