macro

Fed holds rates at 3.75%-4.00% as two officials back a hike; yields climb

The Federal Reserve kept rates unchanged while two dissenters wanted a hike. The 10-year Treasury yield rose to 5.044% as US stocks ended mostly higher.

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what happened

The Federal Reserve left its benchmark rate in a 3.75%-4.00% range, according to Update, which noted the decision came despite elevated inflation. The committee voted 10-2, and two members, Lisa Cook and Beth Hammack, wanted a quarter-point increase instead. Market Talk reported that traders now price in a hike in December.

Chair Kevin Warsh declined to prejudge the next decision and said officials would watch economic data and political and geopolitical events before the December meeting. The 10-year yield closed at 5.044%, up 0.052 percentage point. The two-year fell sharply during the press conference and finished at 4.731%, while the 30-year rose to 5.360%.

US indexes finished higher: the Dow gained 0.19% to 52,475.10, the S&P 500 rose 0.28% to 7,743.98 and the Nasdaq added 0.27%. Oil futures jumped 2.9% to $102.78 a barrel after reports that Washington could step up military action against Iran once the midterms are over. Gold futures fell 0.6% to $4,036 an ounce.

why it matters

Hawkish votes inside the committee and expectations of a December hike keep Treasury yields elevated and support the dollar, which is hovering near multiyear highs against other currencies. Warsh also said the link between oil and yields has weakened recently, so geopolitical headlines may move crude and bonds in different directions.

market impact

US Treasuries and the dollar: hawkish Fed signals pressure bonds and support the greenback; gold under pressure

  • US 10-year Treasuries pressure down — hawkish Fed signals and hike expectations weigh on bond prices
  • Dollar pressure up — expectations of further Fed hikes support the greenback
  • Gold pressure down — higher yields and a firmer dollar reduce the metal's appeal
  • Oil pressure up — reports of possible escalation against Iran lift crude prices

tags

instruments

UST 10YDXYGoldOilS&P 500Nasdaq

sources

  1. Treasury Yields Mixed After Fed Hold — Market Talk, 28 October 2026 at 20:01 UTC
  2. U.S. Stocks Up, Treasury Yields Mixed After Fed Holds — Update, 28 October 2026 at 20:46 UTC

prepared by the newsmetry newsroom with ai assistance from the sources listed below. not investment advice.

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