Crude Shipments from the Middle East Top Pre-War Volumes Even as Hormuz Flow Falls
Kpler data shows Hormuz oil flows near 54% of the prewar level, while total Middle Eastern crude exports to global markets remain above pre-war levels.
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what happened
Oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz are still far under their pre-war pace, yet crude shipments from the Middle East to global buyers have held up better and remain above pre-war volumes.
Market Talk, citing Kpler figures, puts the seven-day average for Hormuz at 9.34 million barrels per day, roughly 54% of the 17.15 million barrel-per-day baseline before the conflict.
Meanwhile, Middle Eastern crude excluding Iranian barrels reached 16.7 million barrels per day in October so far, up from 16.3 million before the war.
why it matters
Hormuz is the main chokepoint for seaborne crude, so a gap of this size keeps traders focused on alternative routes and cargo rerouting. Steady output and exports from other Middle Eastern suppliers partly offset the shortfall, which may cushion the market impact of lower Hormuz volumes.
market impact
Crude oil: lower Hormuz flows support a risk premium, while stronger overall Middle Eastern exports offset supply concerns.
- Brent mixed — reduced Hormuz flows tighten supply, while steady exports from the wider region offset it
tags
instruments
sources
- Mideast Crude Exports Hold Above Prewar Levels Despite Weaker Hormuz Flows — Market Talk, 27 October 2026 at 09:10 UTC
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