US Treasury yields and dollar: weekly recap after Warsh's rate signals
According to Stocktwits, US government bond yields eased while the dollar posted its sharpest weekly drop since early September amid the Fed chair's cautious tone.
- published
- in the api
- on the website
on the website stories appear 15 minutes after publication, in the api at once. connect the api →
what happened
According to Stocktwits, in the week ending October 16 US government bond yields edged lower, while the dollar index lost 0.3% and recorded its weakest week since September 4. Investors parsed mixed signals from Fed Chair Kevin Warsh, who declined to give forward guidance on rates during remarks at the IMF meetings in Bangkok. His silence pushed traders to lower the odds of an October rate hike to around 20%.
The US Treasury also gave no clear plan to cut long-duration issuance or scrap 20-year auctions, which primary dealers had expected. The 30-year yield fell 17 basis points to 5.43%, the 10-year to 5.08% and the 2-year to 4.72%. The 10-year to 2-year spread narrowed to 0.37% from 0.44%.
why it matters
The flattening curve, with short yields rising in step with long ones, suggests markets still price in one more rate hike by December. European and UK government bond yields also climbed alongside US peers. Doubts about the durability of the AI boom that has supported US growth added pressure on the dollar.
market impact
US Treasuries and dollar: rate uncertainty pressures the long end of the curve and the currency
tags
instruments
sources
- Stocktwits Weekly Spread: What Shaped Treasury Yields And The Dollar This Week — stocktwits.com, 17 October 2026 at 00:45 UTC
prepared by the newsmetry newsroom with ai assistance from the sources listed below. not investment advice.
on the website stories appear 15 minutes after publication, in the api at once.
get stories in real time ↗