macro

US core PCE rises 2.5% in Q3 and 0.3% m/m in September

According to TradingView, citing RTT News/dpa-AFX, US core PCE rose 2.5% in the third quarter and 3.1% year on year in September.

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what happened

According to TradingView, which cites RTT News/dpa-AFX, the US core PCE price index rose 2.5% in the third quarter. The headline PCE index increased 2.1% over the same period.

In September, core PCE climbed 0.3% month on month and 3.1% year on year. Unrounded, the headline index rose 0.491% m/m and core rose 0.317%.

why it matters

Core PCE is the inflation gauge the Federal Reserve watches most closely. Higher readings reduce the odds of a quick easing of monetary policy and tend to support the dollar while pressing on rate-sensitive bonds and stocks.

market impact

US dollar and Treasuries: inflation above expectations cuts the chances of quick Fed easing

  • US dollar pressure up — hot inflation data reduces expectations of quick Fed easing
  • US Treasuries pressure down — firmer inflation readings push yields up and bond prices down

tags

instruments

EUR/USDUS TreasuriesS&P 500Gold

sources

  1. US Q3 CORE PCE PRICE INDEX +2.5% — TradingView, 29 October 2026 at 13:34 UTC
  2. US SEP CORE PCE PRICE INDEX +0.3% M/M; +3.1% Y/Y — TradingView, 29 October 2026 at 13:34 UTC
  3. US SEP UNROUNDED PCE PRICE INDEX +0.491% M/M; CORE +0.317% — TradingView, 29 October 2026 at 13:34 UTC
  4. US Q3 PCE PRICE INDEX +2.1% — TradingView, 29 October 2026 at 13:34 UTC

prepared by the newsmetry newsroom with ai assistance from the sources listed below. not investment advice.

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