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UK core inflation rose to 2.8% year on year in September

UK core consumer price inflation reached 2.8% y/y in September, up from 2.6% in August, according to TradingView citing RTT News.

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what happened

According to TradingView citing RTT News/dpa-AFX, UK core inflation came in at 2.8% year on year in September. The August reading was 2.6%. The median analyst forecast was 2.7%, while the Bank of England projection in the reports is listed as 2.72%.

Different versions of the report show the September figure as both 2.78% and 2.8%, reflecting rounding.

why it matters

For markets the key question is the path of Bank of England rates. Inflation above the median forecast could reduce the chance of a quick easing in monetary policy, and sterling and gilts tend to react to such data first.

market impact

Sterling and gilts: inflation above the median forecast strengthens expectations of caution from the BoE

tags

EconomyInflation

instruments

GBP/USDUK giltsFTSE 100BoE rate expectations

sources

  1. UK SEP CPI CORE 2.78% Y/Y (2.7% MED, 2.72% BOE, 2.57% AUG) — TradingView, 21 October 2026 at 06:33 UTC
  2. UK SEP CPI CORE 2.8% Y/Y (2.7% MED, 2.6% AUG) — TradingView, 21 October 2026 at 06:33 UTC
  3. UK SEP CPI CORE 2.8% Y/Y (2.7% MED, 2.72% BOE, 2.6% AUG) — TradingView, 21 October 2026 at 06:32 UTC

prepared by the newsmetry newsroom with ai assistance from the sources listed below. not investment advice.

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