macro

Treasury Yields Climb as Oil Falls After Trump Waives Russia Sanctions

Market Talk reports the 10-year Treasury yield at 5.127%, while Brent slips 2% to $107.69 after the U.S. president waived new sanctions against Russia.

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what happened

Market Talk reports that Treasury yields are rising as investors weigh the Federal Reserve's approach ahead of its policy meeting at the end of the month. The 10-year yield stands at 5.127%, up from 5.097% on Friday, while the 2-year rose to 4.757% from 4.734%. CME FedWatch puts the probability of a rate hike at 17%.

Oil futures fell after President Trump waived new sanctions against Russia in an effort to ease energy supply. Brent is down 2% at $107.69 a barrel and WTI has slipped 1.8% to $97.25. Exness strategist Christopher Tahir says Middle East tensions will likely limit the decline.

why it matters

Two forces are at work. Expectations for tighter Fed policy keep borrowing costs elevated and weigh on risk assets, including crypto. The sanctions waiver eases some supply concerns in oil, but disruptions in the Middle East remain the main factor that could reverse the drop.

market impact

Bonds and risk assets: higher yields and rate expectations pressure stocks and crypto; Brent: sanctions waiver weighs on oil

tags

instruments

UST 10YUST 2YBrentWTIEUR/USDBitcoin

sources

  1. Tokenized Gold Has $700B in 'Latent Demand,' Says WGC — Market Talk, 19 October 2026 at 16:54 UTC

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