RBA Likely to Pause After Latest Rate Hike, Says Marex Economist
Marex economist Ivan Colhoun expects the RBA may hold off on a sixth hike after next week's meeting, waiting for October inflation data before deciding.
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what happened
According to Market Talk, Ivan Colhoun, economist at Marex, thinks that if the Reserve Bank of Australia delivers a second consecutive hike at its meeting next week, policymakers will more likely watch the fallout from this year's increases rather than push for a sixth.
He notes that the effects of earlier hikes are still feeding through the economy. October inflation figures could shift that view. He also points to the federal government's plan to discuss spending cuts in December, meaning the central bank may wait to judge how firmly Canberra is committed to fiscal restraint.
why it matters
For markets, a pause after a run of increases would reduce expectations of further tightening and could weigh on the Australian dollar and bond yields. Traders will watch both the decision and the wording of the RBA's comments alongside the inflation release.
market impact
AUD and Australian bonds: an expected pause would reduce bets on further tightening
tags
instruments
sources
- RBA Likely to Sit Back and Survey Impact of Hikes After Next Week — Market Talk, 29 October 2026 at 03:57 UTC
prepared by the newsmetry newsroom with ai assistance from the sources listed below. not investment advice.
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