macro

Oil and gold slip as Middle East diplomacy and Fed rate outlook weigh on sentiment

Brent fell toward $114 a barrel as fresh Iran diplomacy eased strike fears, while gold declined after the Fed held rates steady and gave little guidance.

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what happened

According to TradingView, commodity markets traded lower on Thursday. Oil fell as traders weighed new diplomatic efforts aimed at preventing a renewed wave of US strikes on Iran. Brent dropped toward $114 a barrel after gaining more than 1% in the previous session, while West Texas Intermediate hovered near $102.

Gold also retreated after the Federal Reserve left rates unchanged and offered little clarity on its next move. Spot gold lost 0.3% to $4,053.90 an ounce and is on track for a second monthly decline, down 2.5% in October. Silver eased 0.2% to $53.86 an ounce. The FOMC voted 10-2 to hold rates, and Fed Chair Kevin Warsh said the number of rate decisions per year would likely fall from eight to six, a shift analysts said could add uncertainty.

The US dollar index, which tracks the currency against six peers, edged higher to 102.25.

why it matters

Two factors matter for markets now: a lower geopolitical premium in oil if talks hold, and uncertainty over a possible Fed rate hike before year-end, which weighs on gold. Analysts also link the reduced meeting schedule to less predictable policy.

market impact

Oil and gold: easing geopolitical premium and Fed rate uncertainty put pressure on prices

  • Brent pressure down — lower risk of renewed strikes on Iran shrinks the geopolitical premium in the price
  • Gold pressure down — uncertainty over the Fed's next move and a possible hike before year-end weighs on the metal

tags

instruments

BrentWTIGoldSilverUS dollar index

sources

  1. Commodity Corner: Oil, gold slip as middle east diplomacy, Fed rate outlook weigh on sentiment — TradingView, 29 October 2026 at 02:16 UTC

prepared by the newsmetry newsroom with ai assistance from the sources listed below. not investment advice.

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