IMF Economist Warns Global Growth May Slow Sharply in 2027
IMF chief economist Silvana Tenreyro warned that low energy inventories, high debt and rising borrowing costs could weaken global growth in 2027.
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what happened
The global economy may soon approach the limits of its resilience, IMF Chief Economist Silvana Tenreyro said. Newsmetry API reports that dwindling energy inventories could make geopolitical shocks pass through to prices more forcefully, while weather events and disruptions pose risks to other commodity markets.
Technology-related investment that is insulated from the energy shock has left growth dependent on a limited group of economies and sectors, she said. At the same time, borrowing costs are rising, public debt remains high and fiscal buffers have been depleted.
If higher commodity prices and fiscal concerns prompt markets to reassess borrowing risks, global growth in 2027 could be considerably slower and inflation higher. “Keeping public debt on a durably sustainable path can prevent such a scenario,” Tenreyro said.
why it matters
The assessment points to greater market sensitivity to energy inventories, commodity prices, borrowing costs and public-finance risks. Together, these factors could shape inflation expectations and the perceived risk of sovereign debt.
instruments
sources
- Global Economy Could Soon Test Limits, IMF Chief Economist Says — Market Talk — Newsmetry API, 13 October 2026 at 02:00 UTC
prepared by the newsmetry newsroom with ai assistance from the sources listed below. not investment advice.
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