macro

Bitcoin retests 20-month SMA as $87M in liquidations hits spot CFDs

According to TradingView, BTC/USD is testing its 20-month moving average near $87K, with $317M in crypto derivatives liquidated over 24 hours.

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what happened

According to TradingView, the Bitcoin price has repeatedly returned to its 20-month simple moving average, in a range of roughly $87,165 to $87,490. The nearest support is seen near $82,442, while the upper Bollinger Band sits at about $121,640.

Over the past 24 hours, $317M in crypto derivatives were liquidated. Around $87M of that came from BTC/USD spot CFDs, with about 40% from long positions. The price briefly dipped below $80,000 before recovering. Glassnode reports that Bitcoin spot ETFs have shifted from net inflows to net outflows.

One-year realized volatility for BTC/USD spot CFDs fell to 43%, compared with roughly 81% five years ago. Separately, Australia's ASIC has launched a consultation on rules for crypto platforms that could cover BTC/USD spot CFDs.

why it matters

Both the liquidation levels and ETF flows matter for the market. According to the source, a lasting recovery would require ETF inflows to return. Fidelity Digital Assets reports that the correlation between Bitcoin's market cap and the 10-year US real yield exceeded 0.6, a record high. Traders are also watching a US Treasury buyback on October 27 and a refunding on November 4.

market impact

Bitcoin and crypto markets: ETF outflows and liquidations pressure BTC/USD spot CFDs

tags

instruments

BTC/USDBitcoin ETFsUS 10-year Treasury real yield

sources

  1. Key facts: BTCUSD tests 20‑month SMA; $87M liquidations; $80k–86k accumulation — ru.tradingview.com, 16 October 2026 at 12:00 UTC

prepared by the newsmetry newsroom with ai assistance from the sources listed below. not investment advice.

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